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A few of us Brainiacs have went back and reviewed the tape and took notes separately and, to be candid, we all came away thinking that Baylor’s O-line wasn’t quite as impressive as we anticipated. We also came back thinking that Lache Seastrunk, while excellent, doesn’t have the kind of start and stop that we expected. In fact where Lache did surprise us was in how much more physical and powerful he is in the run game than one might expect from a back his size. The bottom line for me is this isn’t a game where Oklahoma is outmatched in terms of talent. In fact I’d contend that we have better talent at most positions. Baylor is a true spread up-tempo team that takes advantage of mis-alignments, poor run fits, busts in coverage and all other sorts of mistakes a team can make when the speed of the game continually changes. We heard the players this past weekend talk over and over about being assignment sound. That is always true but it is especially true against Baylor. If Oklahoma plays their assignments they can win this game and I think they can win it comfortably.
Going into the fourth quarter, believe it or not, K-State was actually up against Baylor 25-21. They failed converting on two 2-point conversions, or it would have been 27-21. The third bust in the secondary gave Baylor a 28-25 lead a few plays later. Make no mistake about it, K-State wins this game were it not for the big plays. K-State had a shot at shutting Baylor down. How do we do it? As they say, it starts up front. Pressure the QB and stop the run.
Lets look at their O-line. Outside of their massive left guard, Cyrril Richardson I don’t see Baylor having an edge in talent anywhere on the line. Make not mistake Cyril is a monster at 6’5 335. He’s very powerful and he’s steamroller inside. But, again I think in terms of talent we matchup favorably everywhere else. I hate to keep coming back to this but if Jordan Phillips and Corey we’re playing, this wouldn’t be a game in my opinion.
The two players I think we can really take advantage of are at their left tackle and center positions. As I watched the K-State vs. Baylor game again the thought that immediately came to mind was that Eric Striker is going to have a big game for us. Baylor’s left tackle just appears to be a tad slow footed and he’s a bit of a waist bender. I truly believe that Striker is going to be able to exploit that matchup and cause some problems.
The center for Baylor appears to be a bit soft but they’re going to rely on Cyril Richardson to double team Jordan Wade in the run game. Jordan is going to absolutely have to play with outstanding pad level and technique. If he gets too high, then he’ll get driven out of the play. But the flip side is that I don’t think the center can play Wade one-on-one. If that’s the case and it forces them to dedicate Richardson to Wade it gives our LBs more opportunities for unblocked tackles. Our players on the outside, Tapper, Ndulue and Grissom are going to have to have big games for us but I think they can win their matchups. But our LBs are going to have to play sound in the run game, stay in their gaps and make tackles! Let me tell you and show you what they can’t do:
A play in particular that comes to mind is in the 1st quarter with 5:28 to go. I noticed that the K-State linebackers didn’t attack the line of scrimmage at all. What ends up happening is that the linebackers end up catching blocks instead of hammering up in there on their run fits. Looking closer at why that was going on, the linebackers on the snap were still looking to the sideline trying to get the call. Players have to know what they’re doing, or they hesitate and end up being indecisive and slow.
Here’s another example, which I’ll illustrate, how Baylor takes advantage of missed assignments. Martin’s 21 yard run to seal the game late in the 4th quarter against K-State was another busted assignment. The linebacker has to crash as soon as he sees that guard coming around. He hesitates for whatever reason, and you’ll see in the next couple of pictures what transpires.
Below you see the linebacker #53 and the safety # 22 in position and both don’t make a good play here. The previous two pictures show where 53 is unblocked, and frankly that’s a linebackers dream. Martin’s the aggressor and it pays off. You know what they say…if they’re even, they’re leavin’.
Again Baylor does not have the athletes to win one-on-one matchups in the trenches in my opinion except in a spot or two. All game against K-State Baylor made a living on big plays and busted assignments which is why it’s imperative that we are dialed in and assignment sound. We aren’t going to lose because of a disparity in talent. We’re going to lose if we aren’t sound.
9 Comments
Great write up. Encouraging for sure. My only thought is how much they will play Sanchez in tight man given his last performance against Tech and Eric Ward
We’ve got a WR breakdown on Baylor coming and Ace and I were looking at all the coverage breakdowns that K-State had against Baylor. K-State played mostly a conservative cover 4 with some split cover 2 but some assignment busts just made Baylor’s life too easy. I think Oklahoma is just going to play a lot off-man so that the tempo doesn’t create any busts. And I’m sure Zack has been reminded again and again to be mindful of the double moves. After watching the Baylor vs. K-State game Oklahoma can definitely cover the WRs IF they play disciplined. Good comment Rob!
So the defensive line needs to get up field/stop the run gaps and everyone behind them needs to be able to fundamentally sound. They also have to be multi-dimensional, as in being able to sometimes go one-on-one with a receiver or coming up to make a tackle in the run game.
Oklahoma has the athletes to win matchups. I think the OU coaches know that which is why there was an emphasis from the players this week on “trusting your teammates” and “just playing your assignment”. Baylor has some spots where they are talented but more than anything they rely on schematics and pace to capitalize on their speed and create mental errors in the secondary. This becomes a bigger problem for teams that play mostly zone. Fortunately we can play man.
I think the battle between the OU defensive line and the Baylor offensive line is going to be the determining factor in which team wins the game. The OU D-line needs to get off their blocks and get into the gaps on run plays and force the Baylor RBs to the edges where hopefully others are waiting to make tackles. Playing man coverage is favorable, but there’s still room for mistakes to be made by the secondary. Baylor likes to put Goodley/Reese in the slot, where they are matched up against a nickel back/safety/linebacker. Honestly, I don’t have the greatest of faith outside of Colvin to be able to cover one-one-one for a lot of the game.
Also, Baylor runs a lot of packaged plays incorporated with play action, which leaves defenses guessing a lot.
Good notes Bob. I agree the D-line/O-line match up is big. I think you’re right if they can force things outside it plays to our strength because we tend to be better at outside contain. In terms of coverage I think we’re going to see a lot of cover 1 man/robber to make sure we’ve got DB matchups on their inside WR and we’ve done a good job of having the robber come down and creep over to the curl and get picks or force throws in the other direction. And yes, Baylor is excellent with their PA but if the front can handle the run then it won’t matter – if they can’t then it’s going to stress our backend a lot more than is reasonable.
I think “packaged” is more important the play action. I’ve noticed Baylor likes to run combo routes where one or two inside receivers run the bubble screen and the outside receivers run a go/post/sland etc… giving Petty numerous options of where to go(handoff, screen pass, deep route, intermediate route). That’s where the wide splits come in handy. But it also requires a quarterback to make intelligent decisions, which Petty has done. Since this is the most athletic/speedy defense they’ll have faced, I’m hoping that Baylor can be slowed/stopped. I don’t know if they will, I hope they will, but that’s why they play the game. Expecting a great game.
You pretend like the OU DL is a good matchup against the Baylor OL when it is not. Maybe it was in August when our entire crew was healthy but it is certainly not that way now.
Texas absolutely pancaked our DL on every play and completely dominated the line of scrimmage. Even Kansas dominated our DL for the first half of that game.
Face it — the OU DL is a very mediocre group this year.
Thanks for the comment Jason! You’re right the D-line definitely took a hit when Phillips went down. And when Corey went down we lost a key part of the LB corp that could mask deficiencies in the D-line. Wade,Tapper, Dom – are very young. But I don’t agree with either assertion you made regarding Texas or Kansas. In the Kansas game our gap integrity was poor in the first half. We weren’t aligning correctly when they moved the tackle over strong side. In fact we did something we rarely do – lose outside contain which was just a gap bust. And Texas absolutely did not pancake our D-line. We lost our fair share of battles at certain points but more than anything our LB youth showed just like it showed against ND – we have a true freshman playing uncovered ILB against big-sets. Here’s a post from just after the OU/Texas game addressing that very point: https://thefootballbrainiacs.com/that-just-happened-are-we-too-small-part-2
I’d also add that the DL isn’t mediocre – or at least I wouldn’t say it like that. There is a lot of talent there but just too much inexperience in the front 6/7.